Benchmarks & EvalsAnthropic
Evidence check
  • Preprint
  • No code released
  • Not independently replicated

Agents’ Last Exam: Even Top Coding Agents Score Under 10% on the Hardest Tier

ALE holds 1,490 expert workflows; the best Codex+GPT-5.5 setup that scores 82% on Terminal-Bench gets under 10% on ALE's hardest tier and 23.3% overall on ALE-CLI.

Christopher Ort
By Christopher Ort · 2 min read
Share
Top coding agents struggle with hard workflows
Illustration: i10X
On this page
  1. Quick Take
  2. What the study shows
  3. Why it matters: headroom returns
  4. Method in brief
  5. What remains open
  6. Context
  7. What it means for agent builders
  8. About the analysis
  9. i10x Perspective
i10X Quick Take

Quick Take

  1. The finding: Codex with GPT-5.5, which scores 82% on Terminal-Bench, reaches only 23.3% overall on ALE-CLI and 0.0% on the hardest Last-Exam tier.
  2. Still unsaturated: Across mainstream harness and backbone setups, average full pass rate is below 1% on the hardest tier; most agents including Claude Code are near zero there.
  3. What it means: Short coding-agent benchmarks are saturating. Long expert workflows are not.

Coding agents look strong on Terminal-Bench and similar suites. Agents’ Last Exam (ALE) asks a harder question: can they complete long, expert-authored professional workflows that take hours? A large consortium spanning universities and industry released ALE with 1,490 task instances across domains, keeping most of them private to limit overfitting.

Column chart: Codex with GPT-5.5 scores 82 percent on Terminal-Bench, 37.2 on ALE Near-Term, 23.3 overall on ALE-CLI and 0 on Last-Exam.
i10X chart based on data from Sun et al. (2026), arXiv:2606.05405, ALE-CLI results vs Terminal-Bench comparison (CC BY 4.0).

What the study shows

Only about 150 of 1,490 instances (~10%) are public; the rest stay in a private pool. Tasks are split into Near-Term (67 workflows where top pass rates approach 40%), Full-Spectrum and Last-Exam (38 hardest workflows). Each run is capped at five hours.

Configuration / tierPass rate
Codex + GPT-5.5 on Terminal-Bench (reported)82%
Same setup, ALE-CLI overall23.3%
Same, Near-Term37.2%
Same, Full-Spectrum19.0%
Same, Last-Exam0.0%
Average full pass, hardest tier (mainstream)below 1%
Headline comparisons as reported in the paper.
  • Costly to run: A single frontier-agent run on one ALE task costs about $3–10 and takes tens of minutes to hours.
  • Timeouts are real: Overall timeout rate is 3.8%, from ~1% for lightweight harnesses to 5.7% for OpenClaw.
  • Failure modes vary: Analyses show incomplete implementations, domain-knowledge gaps, hallucinations and tool-use errors across configs.

Why it matters: headroom returns

When agents score 70–80% on popular coding benches, it is easy to declare the problem solved. ALE shows that economically valuable, multi-hour workflows remain almost untouched.

The private holdout is an explicit response to contamination of public agent tests.

Method in brief

Expert-contributed workflows with a public/private split, multi-tier difficulty, five-hour caps and a living leaderboard. Project site and Hugging Face assets accompany the paper.

What remains open

  • Expensive evaluation: $3–10 per task limits who can iterate quickly.
  • Moving target: Harnesses and backbones change; leaderboard numbers will drift.

Context

ALE sits above short CLI and GUI agent benches. More agent evaluation is in Benchmarks & Evals and Agents.

What it means for agent builders

  • Stop optimizing only Terminal-Bench: Add long workflow evaluations.
  • Budget for hours, not minutes: Timeouts and cost are part of the product.
  • Use the private split: Treat public ALE tasks as practice, not the score that matters.

About the analysis

Researched and written with AI assistance under the editorial responsibility of the i10X News team. The title image is an AI-generated illustration. Read our AI Use Policy. Spotted an error? Request a correction.

This article is based on the full text of the preprint “Agents’ Last Exam” (arXiv:2606.05405v3, submitted June 3, 2026). All numbers are taken from the paper’s text, tables and figures; i10X did not rerun the experiments. The chart was redrawn by i10X from ALE-CLI results vs Terminal-Bench comparison of the paper, which is published under a CC BY 4.0 license.

i10x Perspective

ALE’s zero on the hardest tier for a model that dominates Terminal-Bench is the kind of result the field needs: proof that agent capability is still narrowly concentrated. The private pool is almost as important as the tasks. Without it, tomorrow’s agents would memorize today’s expert workflows.

Christopher Ort

Christopher Ort

Christopher Ort handles SEO, AI agent workflows and PR & partnerships at i10x.ai, the all-in-one AI workspace built by i10X Global Pte. Ltd. in Singapore. He is a graduate of Friedrich-Alexander-Universität Erlangen-Nürnberg (FAU). He is the author of “The Style Penalty”, a study published on SSRN that analyses 1,576 evaluation decisions by four frontier AI models to show how AI-written CVs fare in automated hiring screens; the research has been covered by heise online and t3n.

Timeline

What happened before

  1. Release

    Claude Haiku 5.5

    1M context · $0.1 / $0.5 per 1M tokens

    support.claude.com (source, opens in a new tab)
  2. Release

    Claude Sonnet 5.5

    1M context · $2 / $10 per 1M tokens

    support.claude.com (source, opens in a new tab)
  3. Release

    Claude Opus 5.5

    1M context · $4 / $20 per 1M tokens

    First model of the Claude 5.5 family; performs at the level of Claude Fable 5.1 on most work and costs 40% less to run than Opus 5.

    anthropic.com (source, opens in a new tab)
  4. Partnership

    Accenture partnership on independent frontier-AI evaluation (≥$1B each over five years)

    With Accenture · Research

    anthropic.com (source, opens in a new tab)
  5. Release

    Claude Fable 5.1 & Mythos 5.1

    1M context · $10 / $50 per 1M tokens

    Anthropic's most advanced models for coding and knowledge work. Price/context shown for Claude Fable 5.1 (models overview).

    support.claude.com (source, opens in a new tab)
Full Anthropic timeline ›

Editor's picks

  1. Anthropic IPO Filing Reveals Extreme AI Safety Risks
  2. Grok Imagine Odyssey Pilot Exposes AI Video Limits
  3. Anthropic Files S-1 for Nasdaq IPO Under Ticker ANT
  4. Jakarta Agentic AI Milestone Delivers Standardized AI Agents for Java
  5. llm-deepseek Serialization Bug Replays Text After Tool Use