ReasoningOpenAI
Evidence check
  • Preprint
  • No code released
  • Not independently replicated

A 150M Model Hits 29.5% on ARC-AGI-1 for Under a Tenth of a Cent

BDH-CQ combines in-context learning with recurrent latent reasoning. Independent audit confirms 29.5% pass@2 at $0.0007/task — ~57× cheaper than GPT-5.6 Luna (Low) on ARC Prize costs.

Christopher Ort
By Christopher Ort · 2 min read
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Illustration: i10X
On this page
  1. Quick Take
  2. What the study shows
  3. Why it matters: accuracy per dollar
  4. Method in brief
  5. What remains open
  6. Context
  7. What it means for ARC-style systems
  8. About the analysis
  9. i10x Perspective
i10X Quick Take

Quick Take

  1. The finding: A 150M-parameter BDH-CQ configuration scores 29.5% pass@2 on public ARC-AGI-1 at a computed $0.00070 per task.
  2. Pareto break: That operating point breaks the previously reported ARC-AGI-1 cost–accuracy frontier.
  3. Independently checked: A black-box audit by Bielik and NYU co-authors reproduced the 29.5% pass@2 score.

ARC-AGI rewards systems that learn a transformation from few demos. Pathway researchers introduce BDH-CQ: demos update a recurrent memory, then the model solves the query through iterative latent computation without verbalizing chain-of-thought.

Stat card: 150M parameters, 29.5 percent pass at two, 0.0007 dollars per task, about 57 times cheaper than GPT-5.6 Luna Low on July ARC Prize costs.
i10X chart based on data from Engdahl et al. (2026), arXiv:2608.09888, main results and cost comparison (arXiv non-exclusive license).

What the study shows

Default point: ~0.85 H200 GPU-seconds per task; at $3/H200-hour that is $0.00070. Versus ARC Prize July 2026 costs, about 57× cheaper than GPT-5.6 Luna (Low) at 34.2% / $0.040 — or ~11× after OpenAI’s later 80% API price cut.

  • Controlled ARC-like interventions: Probe what is learned from demos, consistency of the inferred transform, and hard concepts.
  • Small-N family profiles: With ten tasks per family, Wilson intervals are wide — treat concept scores as descriptive.

Why it matters: accuracy per dollar

Frontier LLMs can score higher on ARC but at cents per task. BDH-CQ targets the cheap high-volume regime.

Method in brief

Recurrent latent reasoning without verbal CoT; cost from H200-seconds; independent black-box audit.

What remains open

  • Computed vs billed cost: Uses assumed H200 hourly rate.
  • Public eval set: Private ARC leaderboard may differ.

Context

Related efficient reasoning in Reasoning and Efficiency & Training.

What it means for ARC-style systems

  • Consider latent recurrence: Not only long CoT.
  • Publish $/task: Pareto charts need both axes.
  • Invite audits: Reproduction builds trust.

About the analysis

Researched and written with AI assistance under the editorial responsibility of the i10X News team. The title image is an AI-generated illustration. Read our AI Use Policy. Spotted an error? Request a correction.

This article is based on the full text of the preprint “BDH-CQ: In-Context Learning with Recurrent Latent Reasoning” (arXiv:2608.09888v1, submitted August 10, 2026). All numbers are taken from the paper’s text, tables and figures; i10X did not rerun the experiments. The paper is distributed under arXiv’s non-exclusive license, so i10X does not reproduce its figures; the chart was drawn by i10X from numbers reported in main results and cost comparison.

i10x Perspective

29.5% will not win the ARC prize — but at under a tenth of a cent it redraws the efficiency frontier. That is a different kind of SOTA, and a useful one.

Christopher Ort

Christopher Ort

Christopher Ort handles SEO, AI agent workflows and PR & partnerships at i10x.ai, the all-in-one AI workspace built by i10X Global Pte. Ltd. in Singapore. He is a graduate of Friedrich-Alexander-Universität Erlangen-Nürnberg (FAU). He is the author of “The Style Penalty”, a study published on SSRN that analyses 1,576 evaluation decisions by four frontier AI models to show how AI-written CVs fare in automated hiring screens; the research has been covered by heise online and t3n.

Timeline

What happened before

  1. Release

    GPT-6.1 Sol

    1.05M context · $2 / $10 per 1M tokens

    developers.openai.com (source, opens in a new tab)
  2. Release

    GPT-6 Sol & Luna

    1.05M context · $2 / $10 per 1M tokens

    Two GPT-6 reasoning models. Price shown is GPT-6 Sol (≤272K prompt); GPT-6 Luna costs $0.10 / $0.50.

    developers.openai.com (source, opens in a new tab)
  3. Release

    GPT-6 Astra

    1.05M context · $10 / $50 per 1M tokens

    OpenAI's most capable model for reasoning, coding, computer use and research.

    openai.com (source, opens in a new tab)
  4. Partnership

    NVIDIA guarantees up to $105B for OpenAI’s Ohio data-center campus

    With SB Energy, OpenAI · Compute · $105B

    Residual-value guarantee for OpenAI's 20-year lease of SB Energy's PORTS-Pike campus in Pike County, Ohio: 4.25 GW initially plus a 3.75 GW option, online from 2028. NVIDIA pays only on default; OpenAI must reimburse.

    investor.nvidia.com (source, opens in a new tab)
  5. Release

    GPT-5.6

    1.05M context · $4 / $20 per 1M tokens

    GPT-5.6 family: Sol (frontier), Terra (balanced) and Luna (high-volume).

    developers.openai.com (source, opens in a new tab)
Full OpenAI timeline ›

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