Benchmarks & EvalsAnthropicClaude
Evidence check
  • Preprint
  • No code released
  • Not independently replicated

AI Agents That Learn the Facts Still Deliver Only 60–70% of the Business Value

FDE-Gym's 95 real delivery tasks: Claude Opus 5.5 leads at 0.56, but even models that gather 72–85% of key facts deliver just 0.60–0.70 of the reference uplift.

Christopher Ort
By Christopher Ort · 2 min read
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AI agent navigating a delivery network with some successful and some incomplete deliveries, illustrating limited business value.
Illustration: i10X
On this page
  1. Quick Take
  2. What the study shows
  3. Why it matters: the last mile is the product
  4. Method in brief
  5. What remains open
  6. Context
  7. What it means for AI delivery teams
  8. About the analysis
  9. i10x Perspective
i10X Quick Take

Quick Take

  1. The finding: On 95 real-world delivery tasks, Claude Opus 5.5 leads with a mean score of 0.56 (95% CI 0.50–0.62). GPT-6 Astra and GPT-6.1 Sol trail at 0.38 and 0.37.
  2. Facts ≠ delivery: Leading models obtain 72–85% of key stakeholder facts yet deliver only 0.60–0.70 of the reference business improvement.
  3. What it means: Agent benches that hand over a full ticket miss the hard part: discovering constraints and turning them into working systems.

Most agent benchmarks give a complete issue report or ticket. Real delivery work starts with a vague sponsor request. FDE-Gym, from DeepLethe and collaborators across universities and industry, adapts 20 real delivery projects from 18 sectors into customer environments, then creates variants for 95 grader-validated tasks.

Bar chart of L3 FDE-Gym scores: Claude Opus 5.5 at 0.56, Sonnet 5.5 at 0.49, GPT-6 Astra 0.38, GPT-6.1 Sol 0.37.
i10X chart based on data from Yang et al. (2026), arXiv:2610.22350, L3 evaluation (CC BY 4.0).

What the study shows

Instructions come in levels L0–L3 with progressively less information. Scores are normalized so 0 is do-nothing and 1 is the reference solution, with stakeholder contact cost deducted. Human baselines are still being collected.

Model at L3 (all 95 tasks)Mean score
Claude Opus 5.50.56 [0.50, 0.62]
Claude Sonnet 5.50.49
GPT-6 Astra0.38
GPT-6.1 Sol0.37
Mean FDE-Gym scores with stakeholder contact cost deducted.
  • Constraints matter most: Withholding constraints drops the three leading models by 0.28 on the same tasks (95% CI 0.17–0.39).
  • Questions help, imperfectly: Top models ask 10.0–12.3 questions per task. Even with every key fact, uplift averages 0.66 and hits ≥0.8 in only 37% of those cases.
  • Weak models make things worse: The weakest models score below the do-nothing baseline on 60–83% of tasks.
  • Silent non-askers: Mistral Small 4 asks 0.7 questions per task and obtains only 6% of key facts.

Why it matters: the last mile is the product

Enterprises do not buy agents that pass unit tests on fully specified tickets. They buy delivery under incomplete briefs. FDE-Gym measures that gap.

Method in brief

Experts adapt real projects, alter facts for variants, and validate graders against scoring anchors. Bootstrapped 95% CIs over tasks for L3.

What remains open

  • Human baseline pending: Expert performance under L3 is still being measured.
  • Contact-cost modeling: Stakeholder questions are costed; real org politics are richer.

Context

Complements coding and GUI agent benches by scoring business uplift. See Benchmarks & Evals and Agents.

What it means for AI delivery teams

  • Train constraint discovery: Missing constraints hurt more than missing niceties.
  • Measure uplift, not tickets closed: A finished system can still score below do-nothing.
  • Force clarifying questions: Models that rarely ask fail early.

About the analysis

Researched and written with AI assistance under the editorial responsibility of the i10X News team. The title image is an AI-generated illustration. Read our AI Use Policy. Spotted an error? Request a correction.

This article is based on the full text of the preprint “FDE-Gym: The Last Mile of AI Delivery” (arXiv:2610.22350v1, submitted October 15, 2026). All numbers are taken from the paper’s text, tables and figures; i10X did not rerun the experiments. The chart was redrawn by i10X from L3 evaluation of the paper, which is published under a CC BY 4.0 license.

i10x Perspective

The most damning number is not the leaderboard: models that learn almost all the facts still deliver only about two-thirds of the reference improvement. Knowledge gathering is necessary and nowhere near sufficient. That is the last mile of AI delivery.

Christopher Ort

Christopher Ort

Christopher Ort handles SEO, AI agent workflows and PR & partnerships at i10x.ai, the all-in-one AI workspace built by i10X Global Pte. Ltd. in Singapore. He is a graduate of Friedrich-Alexander-Universität Erlangen-Nürnberg (FAU). He is the author of “The Style Penalty”, a study published on SSRN that analyses 1,576 evaluation decisions by four frontier AI models to show how AI-written CVs fare in automated hiring screens; the research has been covered by heise online and t3n.

Timeline

What happened before

  1. Release

    Claude Haiku 5.5

    1M context · $0.1 / $0.5 per 1M tokens

    support.claude.com (source, opens in a new tab)
  2. Release

    Claude Sonnet 5.5

    1M context · $2 / $10 per 1M tokens

    support.claude.com (source, opens in a new tab)
  3. Release

    Claude Opus 5.5

    1M context · $4 / $20 per 1M tokens

    First model of the Claude 5.5 family; performs at the level of Claude Fable 5.1 on most work and costs 40% less to run than Opus 5.

    anthropic.com (source, opens in a new tab)
  4. Release

    Claude Fable 5.1 & Mythos 5.1

    1M context · $10 / $50 per 1M tokens

    Anthropic's most advanced models for coding and knowledge work. Price/context shown for Claude Fable 5.1 (models overview).

    support.claude.com (source, opens in a new tab)
  5. Release

    Claude Opus 5

    1M context · $5 / $25 per 1M tokens

    support.claude.com (source, opens in a new tab)
Full Claude timeline ›

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